November 19, 2020

Illinois has Turned the Corner (Hopefully)



The increased mitigation beginning October 23rd and/or the public's behavior as cases increased appear to be having the needed/intended effect as cases have started to drop and as Illinois has once again reached two of CDC's critical thresholds (graphs above.) Let's hope the the trend continues.  

Personally I am curious as to the contribution of socially distanced indoor dining (something I need every lunch to get out my office)  and bars and private gatherings (house parties.)  I am suspicious that responsible socially distanced indoor dining was not a key problem but the bars and house parties were, but but I don't have data to evaluate.  A hint might be that the ratio of cases to hospitalizations (see below) appears to be increasing, hinting that maybe more younger healthier people were getting the virus.


The below three graphs show how Illinois compares to other states in cases, hospitalization and deaths.







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