January 31, 2024
January 29, 2024
Pregnancy/Rapes
Texas’s abortion law restricts abortions to only where the mother’s life is endangered.
A non-peer reviewed letter to JAMA attempted to estimated the number of rapes and the percent of rapes that result in pregnancy to reach an estimate for the number of pregnancies resulting from rape.
I am not commenting on their number of rapes. It may or may not be accurate, but whatever the number all rapes are bad.
An egg is viable for about one day, but sperm can remain viable in a woman for five days. This means that in 5 out of 30 days (17%) rape could possibly lead to pregnancy.
The odds of an ejaculation actually fertilizing an egg during one ovulation is approximately 56% (3)(4).
The odds of a fertilized egg actually implanting itself in the uterus is 30% (2)(5)
The odds of a fertilize implanted egg surviving through eight weeks is 76% (3)(5)
This implies that the percent of rapes that result in pregnancy should be approximately .17x.56x.30x.76 = .021 or 2.1% not their 12%.
2. Wilcox, A. J., Weinberg, C. R., & Baird, D. D. (1995). Timing of sexual intercourse in relation to ovulation—effects on the probability of conception, survival of the pregnancy, and sex of the baby. New England Journal of Medicine, 333(23), 1517-1521.
3. Schwartz, D., MacDonald, P. D. M., & Heuchel, V. (1980). Fecundability, coital frequency and the viability of ova. Population Studies, 34(2), 397-400.
4. Wilcox, A. J., Dunson, D., & Baird, D. D. (2000). The timing of the “fertile window” in the menstrual cycle: day specific estimates from a prospective study. Bmj, 321(7271), 1259-1262.
5. Boklage, C. E. (1990). Survival probability of human conceptions from fertilization to term. Int J Fertil, 35(2), 75.
January 28, 2024
January 26, 2024
Biden’s Climate Delusion
Biden stopping construction of LNG terminal. He claims it is because of historic hurricanes and flooding. The problem is that neither the data or the IPCC agree with his justification.
Why he wants to help Russia sell its national gas and limit US exports is beyond explanation.
Biden Ignoring the Law
Biden is ignoring the law and encouraging and letting millions of illegal aliens into the US that have no legitimate asylum claim.
The law requires asylum seekers to be detained until their case is resolved with only two exceptions: 1) if they enter the US from a contiguous country they can be returned to that country pending the outcome of their case or 2) on a case by case basis if there is a compelling reason in the national interest, they can be paroled.
Biden is letting millions of almost certainly ineligible claimants in without evaluating, on a case by case basis and without any compelling reason.
January 25, 2024
January 19, 2024
Warming not Existential
A review of the economic impact of the projected warming caused by CO2 shows that warming is NOT EXISTENTIAL but only expected to result in a slightly lower than a much higher expected standard of living.
This means that the COSTS of Biden’s climate policies are MUCH HIGHER than the expected benefits.
January 17, 2024
January 16, 2024
Bidenomics Deficits Soaring
Bidenomics is unsustainable. At some point the world will not support this level of borrowing. When this happens we will see inflation and interest rates skyrocket.
https://x.com/moxlosllc/status/1747298706326528008?s=12
January 11, 2024
Bidenomics - We pay 18% more
Latest inflation report on Bidenomics. We are all paying 18% more than we were paying before he took office.
Facts Matter - 14th Amendment
An Amicus Brief re Writ of Certiorari to the Colorado Supreme Court by 14Th Amendment experts
This Court should reverse on both grounds.
First, Griffin's Case settled the meaning of Section 3, is consistent with the longstanding sword-shield dichotomy in federal courts' jurisprudence, and reflects a core premise of reconstruction: Congress, and not the distrusted States, was empowered to enforce Section 3.
Second, the four provisions of the Constitution of 1788 that use the phrase "Officers of the United States" do not refer to the President. And the Framers of Section 3 used that older, extant, limited language, in particular the Oaths Clause, and in doing so carried forward the meaning of "Officers of the United States" from that "old soil." In 1788, 1868, and today, "Officer of the United States" in the Constitution extends exclusively to appointed positions and not to elected positions.
In conclusion: Neither this brief nor any other submission in Trump v. Anderson provides a plausible originalist argument that Section Three prevents the people from choosing their president. (1)
(1) https://reason.com/volokh/2024/01/29/section-three-and-the-first-insurrection-that-wasnt/
https://x.com/moxlosllc/status/1745430379173925266?s=46&t=Y4fVsDnz2q8uZ3VNKeco4A
January 10, 2024
Biden Dithering - Ukraine Suffering - Russia Winning
Biden continues his pusillanimous dithering that has only reluctantly provided Ukraine the minimal number and capability weapons to stop Russia from taking all of Ukraine but insufficient to expel the Russian invaders.
- Took almost 2 years to ok jets that still are not there.
- Took 1.5 years to ok limited number of tanks that are just arriving.
- Limited number of long range artillery (ATACMS)
- Limited capability (range) of ATACMS provided
- Delayed providing HIMARS
- Delayed providing Patriots
- Delayed providing Howitzers
- Delayed providing short range air defense
- Tried to get Zelensky to leave
- Stopped supplying anti-tank missiles
The dithering allowed Russia to build layered defensive lines and develop weapons and kill zones for the expected attack.
The US would never attempt to attack without dominant airpower and significant usage of long range artillery.
The result is that despite heroic bravery, the 2023 Ukrainian Offensive had limited success. Ukraine has lost large numbers of precious skilled fighters and Russia continues to destroy Ukraine.
- Why did Biden/Obama allow Russia to invade Eastern Ukraine in 2014 with almost no consequences?
- Why is Biden dithering?
January 6, 2024
Democratic Political Violence OK
Political violence is never ever acceptable. Unless of course it is the Democrat fomented BLM riots in summer of 2020 all based on the Democrat lies that blacks are shot by police disproportionately.
There was no insurrection
There was no insurrection
Insurrection - would require a Federal charge and conviction under USC 2383: Rebellion or Insurrection. To date no one related to Jan 6 has been charged with, let alone convicted, of this crime.
January 5, 2024
Jobs - Not what you may hear
Despite the claims to the contrary the employment and jobs situation is not quite what you may hear.
First, there is still a problem of employment participation where we see a significant number of people that had yet to return to the workforce.
Second are the claims of "record" numbers of jobs created. This claim is out of context and much less impressive than it may sound because it is distorted by the unusual number of jobs that were recovered, not created, after the pandemic shutdown. Trump "created" many more jobs per month than Biden "created" if you want to ignore the effect of the shutdown.
https://x.com/moxlosllc/status/1743394528822694324?s=46&t=Y4fVsDnz2q8uZ3VNKeco4A
January 4, 2024
The Lies
Biden is projected to allow 11 million illegal immigrants into the US during his term. Most of these are claiming asylum even though there is no legal basis because they were in Mexico, a country from which one is not entitled to asylum.
White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre was asked if any of the administration's policies contribute to the record number of border crossings. Her answer: "I have not seen any data that would show this.” it is inconceivable to believe this answer especially given the changes in policy the Biden administration has implemented.
The Biden Administration ended the remain in Mexico policy that Trump instituted that required asylum seekers to remain in Mexico until their claims were adjudicated.
The Biden Administration has quit detaining illegal immigrants, which is required by law, and instead releases them with a promise to appear for a court hearing that is now many years in the future.
The Biden administration has waived laws to allow legal immigrants to obtain work permits.
The totality of these changes encourages many more people from around the world to illegally enter the United States.
While I believe the United States needs a significant amount of immigration, I believe it should be legal immigration where we target engineers, scientists and entrepreneurs that want to embrace the meritocratic Judeo-Christian values. Allowing 11 million poor unskilled people from around the world will strain the social fabric of our society.
January 3, 2024
Bidenomics - Insane Interest Costs
With Bidenomics, we have seen the US interest costs essentially double adding ~2 Trillion dollars per year. The fiscal situation of the US is unsustainable and Biden continues to ignore the problem and propose more spending.
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